Handicapping The Best Picture Oscars 2020 – Ford v Ferrari

Matt Damon and Christian Bale in “Ford v Ferrari.” credit: Merrick Morton/Twentieth Century Fox

James Mangold’s Ford v Ferrari (USA, 2019) is a terrific piece of filmed entertainment. It follows the early days of driver and car designer Carroll Shelby (Matt Damon, solid as always) as he gives up on driving over health issues and starts building cars for the Ford Motor Company’s nascent racing team. Young Lee Iacocca (Jon Bernthal) wants Henry Ford II (Tracy Letts) to merge with Enzo Ferrari (Remo Girone) to race Fords in Europe, culminating in Ford winning the 24-hours at LeMans. But Ferrari turns their good-faith offer into a betrayal. Taking Ferrari’s machinations as an insult, Ford gives Iacocca permission to cultivate an American team, and Iacocca wants the talented Shelby. But Shelby won’t accept the task unless his friend and driver Ken Miles (Christian Bale) is part of his team. Miles is a prodigiously talented driver and engineer, but is conspicuously lacking in people skills.

Much of what transpires here is inspirational sports-movie boilerplate – the extreme disagreements and competitive fires between two dog-loyal friends, and their combined efforts to deliver for Big Corporate despite their disgust for the hands that feed them, has all been seen before. Athletes vs. management, lone wolves vs. family, ingenuity vs. danger. In the plus column, it’s genuinely joyful to watch pros Damen and Bale “pass the ball” back and forth, and Mangold’s visual schemes and execution of the racing sequences is thrilling. On the other hand, I’m not sure where they’d trim it, but I must say that 152 minutes is far too much running time. It’s just too long. I’m delighted to see the talented Caitriona Balfe get feature film work as Mrs. Miles, Noah Jupe does just fine as Ken’s son Peter, and the intrigues perpetrated by Shelby and Miles’ corporate vice-overlords (Iacocca, and the vindictive Leo Beebe, played by Josh Lucas) are predictably compelling, but Mangold and his three editors needed to make a few more hard choices where they’re all concerned. It’s also a very male movie; besides Balfe, the female cast is entirely bit-part secretaries and extras. That was the racing world in the mid-sixties, but half of the moviegoing audience may have less interest here, understandably.

I heartily recommend the film. I’m glad I saw it, it’d be great on a big screen, and I like it much better than many of these others. But aside from technical awards, I don’t think you’ll hear much from Ford v Ferrari on awards night.

Movies – Handicapping The Best Picture Oscars 2019

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Chadwick Boseman in “Black Panther.” credit: movieinsider.com

It’s Oscar time again, and here’s my annual project of catching up with mainstream Hollywood, taking a break from my usual older foreign films and giallos. There are many throwback projects represented here this year: biographies, period pieces, only a few outrightly fictional – my favorites, of course, made a point to move things along rather than work familiar territory.

A Star Is Born – for his feature-film directing debut, Bradley Cooper chose a tried-and-true boilerplate show-biz melodrama. He wisely didn’t try to make the next Citizen Kane or Maltese Falcon; he chose a genre and a style that would tend to itself while he worked on the foundations and detailing, and fashioned an acceptable piece of middlebrow mainstream Hollywood schmaltz entertainment. That the film is regarded as several leagues above this modest but admirable accomplishment is baffling to me, but Warner Bros is, of course, promoting the hell out of it. Lady Gaga is always very good at being Lady Gaga, but the actressin’ otherwise is a little thin. She needed a better director. I saw Bohemian Rhapsody soon after this, and was relieved to find involving narrative dynamics combined with a genuinely thought-out visual plan, two things conspicuous in their absence here. I wish cinematographer Matthew Libatique all the best, but he could have shot this in his sleep. And, as co-writer of the adapted script, Cooper didn’t get much help from Eric Roth or Will Fetters in creating a remotely interesting character. The script says he’s famous, so there’s that, and there’s some nice-guy lip-service early on, but there isn’t much else to care about here. It’s doing good business, and lots of people like it, but I don’t see much of a shelf life here past the next few weeks, even if it wins.

Black Panther – It’s ironic that this was the year the Academy tried to establish a “Best Popular Film” category, and gave the idea up. This film hits all the buttons – well-written, well-structured, well-shot, well-performed, thrilling, smart and fun, critically praised and a box-office hit. It does everything it aspired to do, and a fair amount more. It’s tough to make comparisons to Roma or The Favourite – they’re completely different stories for completely different intended audiences. Nonetheless, it’s one of my two favorites this year (with BlacKkKlansman) for those very reasons. The usual CGI onslaught threatens to bury the last 15 minutes – that just comes with Marvel/DC superhero territory – but Coogler and his writers orchestrate the action and the narrative mythology well; it’s as exciting and engaging a film as I saw all year. I think we all know why this was a watershed release for an enormous swath of the moviegoing public considering what’s come before, but, honestly, I hope we can just acknowledge that, without qualification, on its own, it’s just a big fun great movie.

BlacKkKlansman – Spike Lee, a true reliable veteran, has always been able to flush out and illuminate particular characters, particular environments, the intersections of various cultures, and work a big range between instructive gravity and flat-out entertainment. I suspect he found Ron Stallworth’s book almost irresistible – Colorado Springs’ first black cop (played by a terrific John David Washington), working in the intelligence office, sees a recruitment ad for the KKK in the local paper and calls it. Is it really that easy?! Well, not so much later, as Ron and his fellow undercover cop Flip (Adam Driver) (Ron’s white alter-ego) discover. But what a story. Spike keeps a great George-Romero-like balance between showing us why “the organization” is ridiculous while taking them absolutely seriously nonetheless. And there’s fun and joyfulness peppered in as well, including a great dance sequence, all cohesively orchestrated. But Spike’s not shy about speaking truth to power, either. He illustrates the toll that racism takes on all of us, not just the perpetrators or victims. I don’t suspect it will crack the favorites, but it’d sure be great if it did. And Spike’s a serious contender for Best Director. It’s superb.

Bohemian Rhapsody – one of the critics for the Chicago Reader lamented a while ago that most of these musician / performer bioflix lazily draw from sports movie templates – disappointment, success, escalate, disappointment, success, rinse and repeat. The story of the formation of the wonderful rock ‘n’ roll band Queen is, as previously mentioned, very professionally presented – well-conceived by director Bryan Singer, and well-shot by Newton Thomas Sigel (Singer’s preferred cinematographer). Peter Morgan and Andrew McCarton are genuinely talented screenwriters who took care to keep Brian May and Roger Taylor happy, but, aside from the particulars of Freddie Mercury’s story, we’ve seen this all before. It’s well-executed formula, but it’s, y’know…  In many ways, the aforementioned got lucky with Rami Malek, who, it must be admitted, owns the best sequences of the film. The writers have some trouble balancing Freddie’s personal dynamics – the musicianship seems irreproachable, but some critics aren’t happy with how much credibility Paul Prenter (Freddie’s personal manager) is given (a convincing Allen Leach); others will still resent Mercury for not being forthright about his eventual HIV status. And, outside of the film itself, there are solidly disturbing reports of director Bryan Singer’s own abusive sexual behavior over a long period of time. It’s a very good movie for what it is, and it has a few tear-inducing shots of right-minded nostalgia, but it just doesn’t successfully do justice to Freddie or that great band. You’ll have to make up your own mind about director Singer and if he’s debased his own previous work. Nonetheless, I will continue to assert, at least, that his film blows A Star Is Born out of the water.

The Favourite – I’m delighted to immerse myself in the high-rent-district aspirations of this quite wonderful film. Like good Shakespeare treatments, we accept the larger-than-life historical context of royalty and command while also appreciating the humanization of those characters – one doesn’t diminish the other. The screenplay by Tony McNamara and Deborah Davis is densely packed, involving and naturalistic, but extraordinary amounts of dark fun are had at the players’ expense in the course of relating what eventually becomes a profoundly sad story. Director Yorgos Lanthimos has been in this class for a while now, but the a-list talent he acquired for this project really brings it home – all of those acting nominations are richly deserved, Robbie Ryan’s cinematography is a master-class of composition, color, lighting and what can be done with lenses, and veteran costumer Sandy Powell delivers impeccable work, again. I love the film for all the reasons I love Black Panther; I just don’t believe it’s going to get comparable love from the Academy voters. I’d love to be proven wrong…

Green Book – A number of the films here are throwbacks of a sort to the sixties and seventies. This is a film that I wish had been made in the sixties or seventies by, say, Norman Jewison or Stanley Kramer, where its context and novelty might have been less problematic, and softened overall by its anachronism. But spending the film’s length watching a white man teaching a black man about black popular culture, regardless of how endearingly or historically accurate that black man is portrayed, is a real test of our suspension of disbelief. The film’s terrific actors, Viggo Mortensen and Mahershala Ali, have flushed out the material as graciously and creatively as possible, eschewing the overt sentimental trade-offs with which the script is booby-trapped. But there’s a clearly unearned nostalgia for racism here – “hey, remember back when this stuff was a big deal?” Yes, we do, and not enough of that has changed, and many things that got better are losing ground, and I’m not sure this film is helpful. Narratives, in film, books, theater, TV or whatever, don’t come hermetically sealed – they are absorbed into the larger world in which they are told. Peter Farrelly and Nick Vallelonga no doubt had many good intentions towards telling this story as a narrative time-capsule or an inspirational story of friendship, and that’ll be enough for many viewers. But, despite their apparent affections, Dr. Don Shirley (Ali) comes off as a talented, harmlessly-eccentric outsider while Tony the Lip (Mortensen) shakes his head and sighs and chuckles, oblivious to his own deeper advantages. You simply can’t be this myopic about the audience the film is intended for. Not any more.

Roma – Alphonso Cuaron has real storytelling chops when he chooses to display them. But his films since Children Of Men (2006) tend to be overwhelmed by his technical geekery; that film had a terrific story, but the visuals were a constant parade of stopwatch-defying tracking shots and sea-sick Steadicam. Gravity (2013) succeeded brilliantly as a very different kind of technical thrill ride, but couldn’t illuminate Sandra Bullock’s character for us along the way, despite her best efforts. Now we have Roma, and if you’re all about the gorgeously detailed black-and-white images to be produced by the Arri Alexa 65 digital camera shooting 70-millimeter film, then Cuaron is serving up a feast. But the novelty of the rich visuals wears off surprisingly quickly, and you realize that, despite whatever personal connection he has to the story being told, Cuaron has a pretty formulaic soap-opera here underneath it all. The housekeeper who helped to raise him, here named Cleo (Yalitza Aparicio, God bless ‘er), rarely rises above more than a very nice person to whom lots of discouraging things happen. There’s a nice cathartic feel to the ending, but it’s a long haul to get there. One of the wagering favorites, but I wasn’t big on it.

Vice – 2015’s The Big Short was one of the more pleasant surprises of that year, and successfully moved Adam McKay into another tier of creative respectability. That film, and this one, are wallpapered throughout with amiable black humor, but McKay adroitly builds on a foundation of dead-sober ethical and political gravity. Big Short’s structure was more segmented, more outrightly episodic, with fourth-wall breaking cameos from Margot Robbie and Selena Gomez and the rotating stories of Jared Vennett, Michael Burry, Mark Baum and Ben Rickert (Ryan Gosling, Christian Bale, Steve Carell and Brad Pitt). Here, there’s an insistent through-line, the character (or lack thereof) of Dick Cheney, and Christian Bale’s astonishing manifestation of him. McKay keeps the glib, elbow-in-your-ribs tone, but expresses it with his character arcs rather than narrative interruptions and asides. Amy Adams, Steve Carell and Sam Rockwell pick two or three specific traits of Lynne Cheney, Donald Rumsfeld and W., and hammer them home, just enough towards the truth to avoid outright cartoonishness, but in oversimplified secondary orbit to Cheney’s tight-fisted acquisition of personal power, exemplified by his epiphany towards the “unitary executive.” McKay convinces us that Cheney’s a masterful and soulless schemer, but he hedges his narrative bets in ways that separate the man from the system he can so easily exploit. By the time he has Bale and Adams reciting Macbeth, and documents Cheney’s heart surgeries in forensic detail, we’ve lost any real cumulative sense of the passage of time or what came after. Worth seeing for Bale – otherwise, meh

Best Picture

Should win: BlacKkKlansman or Black Panther

Will win: Roma or Green Book

Best Director

Should win: Spike Lee, BlacKkKlansman

Will Win: Alfonso Cuaron, Roma

I would have traded out Adam McKay for Ryan Coogler. Oh, well…

Best Actress

Should win: Glenn Close, The Wife or Olivia Colman, The Favourite – too close to call.

Will win: Glenn Close, The Wife or Melissa McCarthy, Can You Ever Forgive Me?

Conspicuous in her absence: Emily Blunt, again

Best Actor

Should win: Willem Dafoe, At Eternity’s Gate or Christian Bale, Vice

Will win: Christian Bale, Vice or Rami Malek, Bohemian Rhapsody

Best Supporting Actress

Should and will win: Regina King, If Beale Street Could Talk

Best Supporting Actor

Should win: Michael B. Jordan for Black Panther. Wait, he’s not nominated? Oh, well…

Will win: Sam Elliott, A Star Is Born. This is the wrong movie, but he’s due, and it’s fine.

Movies – Handicapping The Best Picture Oscars 2016

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Jacob Tremblay and Brie Larson in “Room.”   credit: A24

The Big Short – God bless Adam McKay – as the prolific ringmaster of school-of-humiliation Will Ferrell comedies, I was pleasantly surprised that he had created such an uncharacteristically good movie here. Michael Lewis’ source book has been admirably adapted and re-structured here by McKay and Charles Randolph, and McKay seems wavelength- engaged with his superbly-cast acting ensemble – he worked hard, and it shows. (Christian Bale gets the supporting nomination, and he’s very good, but Steve Carell is who really moves the barometer in this film.) The talented Barry Ackroyd shot it, and I suspect that editor Hank Corwin got enormous amounts of coverage dropped on his head to sort through. Like Mike Nichols, actors clearly enjoy working for McKay, but visually the film is a mess. There’s very little spatial variety in his interiors, save for the deliberate isolation of Michael Burry’s offices, and the location-and-era-specific montages that specify “New York” or “Las Vegas” or “Miami” are pretty slipshod. My list of complaints could continue, but they’re negligible compared to the engaging and intelligent story to be found here. Both institutional barracudas AND these likeable and exceptional free-lancers cashed in at the expense of brutally-swindled average Joes, i.e. Us, and the moral implications at each end are admirably illustrated. Academy-wise, this is in the Top Three, and it probably belongs there.

Bridge Of Spies – Spielberg / Hanks is almost ridiculously reliable these days, and a terrific script by Matt Charman and the Coen Brothers doesn’t hurt. The real issue here, to me, is this – is the U.S. Constitution ONLY applicable to U.S. citizens – exclusively – or is it rather a model, a set of practical and humane guidelines for how mankind should justly be treating mankind? Alleged Russian spy Rudolf Abel (Mark Rylance) needs a court-appointed defense attorney, and James Donovan (Hanks) accepts the job because the “Rule Book” clearly describes it as His Duty, i.e. Our Duty. But Donovan discovers just how exclusively powerful people view the Constitution, and faster than he can conjure the words “enemy combatant,” Abel is convicted despite the trial’s malevolent imitation of a rubber stamp. The Washington establishment is disgusted with Donovan’s success in preventing Abel’s execution, but then that’s why the movie’s longer than 45 minutes. Spielberg and cinematographer Janusz Kaminski are channeling late-40s Carol Reed here, and, like Lincoln, they balance the visual style with serving the story quite gracefully. Some of the hard-liners are a little cartoony, and the Francis Gary Powers side of things suffers from an odd expediency, but this is a very entertaining and thoughtful film. I liked a few of these other films more overall, but this one may be the classiest of the bunch.

Brooklyn – a lovely film, artfully and earnestly executed, but a good stiff breeze would blow it into regular showings on The Hallmark Channel pretty quickly. I haven’t read Colm Tóibín’s source novel, but it has to have at least a little more spine than Nick Hornby’s fluffy script here. The title “Brooklyn” certainly doesn’t refer to anyplace depicted in director James Crowley or cinematographer Yves Bélanger’s images – save for one scene at Coney Island, it’s hard to believe they shot ANY of this in New York. Saoirse Ronan is a killer actor who brings real gravity and joy to the role; her work here is irreproachable. But the film as a whole really doesn’t belong in this league.

Mad Max – Fury Road – It’s as thrilling a high-octane car-chase blockbuster as anyone might wish to see, but what really drives the film (and makes it more than just one of those movies) is the solid foundation of its consistent mythology and the stubborn humanism that writer/director George Miller insistently unearths from the carnage. The shiny-chrome ‘Valhalla’ visions that fuel the ubiquitous War Boys, Immortan Joe’s (Hugh Keays-Byrne) tyrannizing sway over a progressively sicker population of thirsty followers, and his Genghis Khan-like efforts to create his next generation of wasteland marauders from five captive brood-mare Wives isn’t too far removed from Herodotus or Richard Wagner. Imperator Furiosa’s (Charlize Theron, all-business) absconding with these Moms yanks the film into an oddly poetic estrogen-fueled thrill-ride to which even Max (Tom Hardy) must, in surprising ways, defer. Miller’s mastery of visual velocity and narrative aggression conceals the fact that it’s not nearly as explicitly violent as your imagination may convince you it is. This is one of my favorite films on the list, and if you can still find it on the big screen, you’d be foolish to pass that up.

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“Mad Max: Fury Road.”    credit:Jasin Boland/Warner Bros

The Martian – A good script (from a good source), good performances, good direction, good visuals, a good sense of humor and a genuine sense of cinematic scale –  this is an undeniably smart and entertaining film that has all of those qualities. It’s been a while since Ridley Scott had those elements line up as well as they do here (it’s his best since 2001’s Black Hawk Down), and Dariusz Wolski’s digital cinematography avoids mimicking its Lubezki / Van Hoytema predecessors. Drew Goddard adapted Andy Weir’s novel, and he’s definitely stepped up from the Whedon / Abrams TV mill in which he matriculated. I put this in the middle tier of really good, really solid professional films that you’re glad you saw, like Bridge Of Spies and Spotlight.

The Revenant –Tal Rosenberg makes a very good case in the Chicago Reader for the film belonging far more to cinematographer Emmanuel Lubezki’s efforts than Iñárritu’s. Both director and cinematographer do astonishing work in the film’s first hour, but Iñárritu can’t keep up the density or the pace. At one point he must have asked himself “how much punishment can we mete out to Hugh Glass and still keep it credible?” He lost me after Fitzgerald and Bridger leave him behind –  I just didn’t buy the rest of it. Leonardo DiCaprio’s performance here is more an ordeal to be vanquished, a harrowing stations-of-the-cross example to be witnessed, than the actual creation of a unique character. Bad things happen, and he prevails, but who is this guy?  I needed more moral heft beneath Hugh Glass’ eventual revenge, more two-way interaction between the man himself and the beauty and brutality of his world. Here he’s just the ball in a wilderness-scaled pinball machine. Thank goodness it all looks so great. As an experience, it’s pretty rigorous, and that may be enough for many filmgoers and academy members, but the film was too much work with too little reward for me.

RoomRoom constructs two very different realities, and the transition between them is as fraught with hope and terror as any science-fiction thriller or film noir. Brie Larson’s character was kidnapped at 17, and has been held in absolute continuing isolation by her captor for years. She has a five-year-old son, Jack (an astonishingly good Jacob Tremblay), whom has never known any existence outside of his Ma’s room. The first half of the film relates the darkly unique state of their situation. The second half chronicles their escape, and their re-assimilation into the “real” world. Don’t let the darkness of the film’s story throw you – it’s a thrilling cinema experience. Lenny Abrahamson’s treatment of Emma Donoghue’s script is masterful, with a special nod to the film’s profoundly evocative production design (Ethan Tobman). A total box office of around $13 million means very very few people have seen the film. That’s tragic. This brilliant film absolutely hammered me – it’s my favorite film here.

Spotlight – Y’know that list of qualities I made for The Martian? Tom McCarthy’s Spotlight only features the first three of those benefits. This is a great story, compellingly told and well performed, but visually it’s pretty claustrophobic. Specific scenes are wonderful, specific actors nail it (especially Mark Ruffalo and Stanley Tucci). But the shot that defined the film, for me, was four people seated at a desk listening to a telephone speaker. There’s real narrative complexity here, but it just doesn’t feel like a movie – it just doesn’t feel like cinema. It just all felt like second-hand information. On TV.

Best Director

should win: Lenny Abrahamson for Room.

will win: Alejandro González Iñárritu for The Revenant.

Best Actress

Brie Larson’s the favorite here (Room), and I have no complaint with that, but a Charlotte Rampling upset wouldn’t be crazy here, either (45 Years).

Conspicuous in her absence: Emily Blunt, again…

Best Actor

this is probably the most contentious category for people of color – Michael B. Jordan for Creed, Idris Elba for Beasts Of No Nation and Will Smith for Concussion are all conspicuous in their absence.

should win: Michael Fassbender for Steve Jobs.

will win: Leonardo DiCaprio for The Revenant. It’s his turn, and, as usual for the Oscars, it’s for the wrong movie. Hell, I think he should have won for Revolutionary Road seven years ago.

Best Supporting Actress

should win: Alicia Vikander for The Danish Girl.

will win: Kate Winslet for Steve Jobs.

Best Supporting Actor

should win: Mark Rylance (Bridge Of Spies).

will win: Rylance or Sylvester Stallone (Creed).

Movie I didn’t expect to like so much (Last year this was Nightcrawler.):

The Big Short – I had tempered hopes for an Adam McKay movie, but he delivered a superb film. Hats off to you, sir.

Movie I wanted to like but didn’t (Last year this was The Imitation Game.):

Spectre. Who thought they’d see so much shitty acting in a movie directed by Sam Mendes? Léa Seydoux and Jesper Christensen held up their end – everyone else looked lost or bored.

Movies – Handicapping The Best Picture Oscars 2014

Amy Adams and Christian Bale in 'American Hustle.'   credit: domainehome.com

Amy Adams and Christian Bale in ‘American Hustle.’ credit: domainehome.com

I don’t get the opportunity to see a lot of American films – the foreign new releases, revivals and festival screenings eat up most of the valuable time I have to commit to film at all. But I make a point to see the Best Picture nominees every year, and, this year especially, there’s a real breadth of socio-cultural, global and historical concerns being surveyed by American filmmakers. The filmmakers, of course, are to be complimented, but I think the real story is the flood of producers who have cut their teeth on indies, and are now graduating to the big leagues. Superheroes, sequels, animations and overgrown-adolescent comedies will still rake in the big money, but there’s not much of that represented in this year’s Academy nominees, and, as an incorrigible snob, I think that’s a good thing.

12 Years A Slave – the provocateur film critic Armond White (God bless ‘im) has likened 12 Years A Slave to “torture porn.” And, while that’s pretty strong medicine, I think what he’s really lamenting is that society has become so inured to everyday injustice, and so resigned to the can’t-beat-city-hall status quo, that it really does seem to take extraordinary amounts of visceral brutality and psychological cruelty to distract us from our own choice to not dwell on the true history because it’s unpleasant and disruptive. There are ways to address these issues and conditions, argues White, but this isn’t one of them. I don’t think this view should invalidate the entire enterprise, but it’s fair to criticize director Steve McQueen, and writer John Ridley, for some of their excesses. (Although I can’t honestly say they’re unfaithful to Solomon Northrup’s own characterizations – I haven’t read his book.)  Northrup’s indentured tenure under William Ford (Benedict Cumberbatch) reveals far more profound, and relatable, issues of humanity-as-commodity than the subsequent horrorshow of the Epps plantation. “You are an exceptional nigger, Platt, but I fear no good will come of it” is, in many ways, the cruelest stroke wielded in the entire film. Many feel differently – and I thought the film was very good, don’t get me wrong – but the indulgent Scottish-play dynamic of Epps (Michael Fassbender) and his imperious wife (Sarah Paulson), the psychotic tone of Epps’ miscegenation, especially towards Patsey (a very good Lupita Nyong’o, but in a much smaller role than you’d think) and the Mel Gibson-ish levels of flesh-rending came pretty close to taking me right out of the disturbing-but-quite-wonderful film McQueen had fashioned up to that point. Despite those specific misgivings, however, I think the film overall is excellent, and it’s definitely a top-tier contender.

American Hustle – as they say in horse racing, this is the chalk. This is the favorite. And it should be. The fact is that David O. Russell, despite his past reputation for pissing off actors, has never made an even remotely bad film, and this is not only his best, but it may stand up as one of the best of a still young decade. Actors work their asses off for him now. Christian Bale and Amy Adams are worth every single cent of your box office dollar; for Bale, it’s another remarkable transformation into a character you might otherwise imagine he has no business even attempting. And Adams is, in short order, becoming the new young Faye Dunaway, the new young Kathleen Turner, the actress you can’t imagine not looking at for whatever major role you might happen to have. Russell and Eric Warren Singer flat-out own the Best Original Screenplay Oscar, but Cuarón, McQueen and Scorsese will squeeze out Russell for Best Director, even though his film involves far more narrative, and psychological, complexity than Gravity or Wolf. 12 Years A Slave is very good, and may be a more important film to reward for its intentions these days, but take my word for it; American Hustle is the best film of these nine.

Captain Phillips – look, this is a powerful film in many respects; film editor Christopher Rouse richly deserves his nomination for Best Editing, and I hope he wins. I continue to have big problems with director Paul Greengrass’ constant, bludgeoning, almost nauseating use of Steadicam – I hope to God someone bought him a tripod for Christmas. The film puts a lot on Tom Hanks’ plate, and Hanks delivers, but if it has any redeeming narrative cohesion, it’s because of Rouse’s work. Unlike Tobias Lindholm’s superior A Hijacking, this film is extraordinarily condescending towards the four Somali pirates who board, and bring to a standstill, the immense MV Maersk Alabama, and take its Captain hostage. They seem to function purely on unlimited adrenaline and misplaced greed (“You got 6 million dollars? Then what are you doing here?”). There’s no real strategy or criminal expertise here; hijacking ships is their version of the Powerball lottery. Like 12 Years A Slave, this is based on a book I, and countless other moviegoers, haven’t read, so I’ll stipulate to a lot of this, but I smelled a lot of clumsy narrative expediency, regardless of the film’s length. I’m not surprised at Tom Hanks’ Best Actor snub; the five that are standing are all fearsome actors, and this film isn’t the overt Acting Showcase that the Academy is a perennial sucker for; oddly, that’s all the more to Hanks’ credit. Hanks did the heavy lifting, but Rouse brought it home.

Dallas Buyers’ Club – of all of these films, this one may have been the nicest surprise. It’s not in American Hustle’s league, but the quality of the performances, the script by Craig Borten and Melissa Wallack, and Jean-Marc Vallée’s aggressively inspired direction level out the lurid-novelty aspects of the story and dig into some real moral and ethical red meat. Matthew McConaughey’s been on a pro’s roll for around three years now, contributing unselfishly to very good movies and picking up and carrying the not-so-good ones on his back. As Ron Woodroof, he flat-out refuses to engage in earnest sentiment or anti-hero pandering; you never forget that this is a guy who’s ultimately in this for his own survival, and the opportunistic political and corporate quagmire, against which he fashions his own smarter shadow market, really was, and is, worth getting ornery over. Vallée’s film is flashy, angular and colorful; he deals out frames of film like a card player, but everything he does and shows directly serves the story. That Best Film Editing nomination is no fluke – Vallée gave John Mac McMurphy and Martin Pensa a lot to sort through, and they’ve shaped it admirably. Leto has the showcase supporting role, but I found Jennifer Garner and Griffin Dunne (giving a master class in underplaying) to be just as impressive here. I rate it my third favorite, but it’s probably mid-pack Academy-wise. Make a point to catch up with this one if you haven’t already.

Gravity – Watching this technically brilliant film in a big dark theater, on a giant screen, in 3D, was absolutely one of the highlights of my filmgoing year. But as soon as the dead daughter came up, I slumped in my chair a little; “They don’t need this,” I thought. Sandra Bullock’s laser-focused underplaying softened some of the short-cut pathos that director Alfonso Cuarón unfortunately resorted to here, but for me, the damage was done. That’s not to diminish Bullock’s own work – she’s excellent here, and, remember, the shooting process for her was over an intermittent three or four year period (six months of physical training, and time accommodation for the elaborate optical and computer effects). However, I think DVD watchers are going to wonder what the big deal here is, and find Ryan Stone, ultimately, a little maudlin. Although Gravity did great in-theater business upon its release, one needs to consider that many Academy voters watched this film on a DVD screener, and, even in their custom home theaters with the 85” Samsungs, may also wonder what the big deal here is. I put this at fourth for Best Picture, and as a shoo-in for the technical awards, but, I caution you, don’t underestimate Bullock’s Best Actress chances.

Her – As Philip K. Dick explained to us, in so many words, “Technology will never have to conquer humanity. We’ll happily, and willingly, surrender.” Boy, I had a lot of problems with this film. It wants to gently inform us of the Faustian pact we make with ourselves when we try to find substitutes for the hard work of relating with the heads, hearts and bodies of our fellow human creatures. But all I came away with was the operating system’s failure at fulfilling the human need for our own narrow 21st century narcissism. It’s refreshing to have a male protagonist function within the story on almost exclusively emotional motivations (and Joaquin Phoenix does brilliant work here), and for Jonze to present a benignly optimistic vision of the future that isn’t post-apocalyptic. But as soon as Samantha said “I think it would be good for us. I want this. This is really important to me,” I knew the rest of the film wouldn’t be able to backpedal fast enough. Spike Jonze is a filmmaker, and, as such, automatically used film to tell the story he wanted to tell, but so much of the story felt so un-cinematic to me that the visual landmarks he peppered his vaguely conceived fast-food-restaurant-design environment with stuck out like pretentious sore thumbs (OMG! THE PORTENTOUS OWL!). Many people have a much higher opinion of the film, and God bless them all. I found it to be, easily, the most overrated of the nine.

Nebraska – I liked Nebraska very much. Director Alexander Payne, with old pro Bruce Dern, and comedy veterans Will Forte and Bob Odenkirk, have gone for a throwback Bob & Ray / Bob Newhart deadpan comedy that, seemingly, only the likes of Bill Murray can pull off anymore without condescension. Most of the time it feels like a ruefully resigned episode of the Andy Griffith show (Phedon Papamichael’s black-and-white photography is superb). There are, unfortunately, a few scenes where they just couldn’t leave it alone to let it work by itself (Kate’s ha-ha sexual frankness, the wrong farm…); there’s a thin line between honest humanism and ridicule – the Coen brothers are still working on finding it – but the supporting cast is almost uniformly good at drawing it here. June Squibb is excellent, but my favorites were the local newspaper editor (Angela McEwan) and the sweepstakes receptionist (Melinda Simonsen). Well worth seeing on the big screen, and you’ll wish more films were like it, but the Best Picture of the Year? Desolé

Philomena – a solidly professional piece of serious-minded entertainment. Again, not having read the book, the balancing of Philomena Lee’s (Judi Dench) bedrock sense of charity while searching for her estranged son, weighed against journalist Martin Sixsmith’s (Steve Coogan) secular disgust with the Catholic Church’s harvesting of shame while covering their bottom-line, is deftly presented in Coogan’s (and Jeff Pope’s) adaptation of Sixsmith’s true-life chronicle. There’s some urbane intellectual snob vs. provincial old coot stuff early on (“She told four different people they’re one-in-a-million; what are the chances of that?”), but the script and performers are smarter than to lean on that too long. What unfurls is a genuinely fascinating series of incidents and mysteries, and the integrity of the two very different main characters doubly illuminates the issues behind them. Nicely adapted, convincingly performed, and directed by Stephen Frears, as cagey a pro as there is these days (just follow the camera movements while Lee and Sixsmith are riding on the back of the airport cart – or don’t, if you’re not geeky like me), the film is a showcase of the thousands of small choices that create a subtle yet informative narrative. It’s another admirable film that isn’t coming anywhere near winning anything it’s been nominated for.

The Wolf Of Wall Street – a despicable story brilliantly told. Most of the film is an exhilarating and exhausting Wall Street chronicle that falls somewhere between Fear And Loathing In Las Vegas and A Clockwork Orange with a touch of Caligula, but Scorsese orchestrates its comic and serious tones and movements like Maurice Ravel. The template is familiar – the structures of Goodfellas and Casino shape the dynamics of this film as well; relentlessly chronological with an illuminating voiceover narrative throughout. But Scorsese isn’t giving us a cautionary tale or a moral lesson; there’s no ‘end of an era’ or ‘end of the road’ – he’s telling us, in the plainest, yet most entertaining, way he can find that This Is The Way It Is Now. Ethics and morals, hell, even good manners, are anti-capitalist mannerisms to be jettisoned. No one will ever make rich man’s money in the financial world doing the right thing anymore. No one, because there’s little, if any, reward for the right thing, and there’s little, if any, downside to ignoring its existence. I was reminded of Jonathan Pryce’s performance in Glengarry Glen Ross, a browbeaten regular-guy client on the extraction end of Al Pacino’s money-harvesting Machiavelli. People like Pryce’s James Lingk are nowhere to be found here; you don’t even here their voices on the other end of a phone, save for one brief training session near the beginning of the film. Jordan Belfort and his army of vampire squids carved a sizable economic swath out of the lives of thousands of James Lingks and their families, and, when caught, he got three years in a country club jail and a fresh start. Ultimately, the film, while very good, is a little too dark, too glib, for Best Picture, but Scorsese’s a very good longshot to play for Best Director.

Best Picture – should win: American Hustle

will win: 12 Years A Slave or Gravity

Best Actor – should win: Christian Bale or Matthew McConaughey (a monster category, all deserving)

will win: Chiwetel Ejiofor

Best Actress – should win: Amy Adams or Cate Blanchett

will win: Cate Blanchett or Sandra Bullock (I would have rather seen Emma Thompson

and Adèle Exarchopoulos over Dench and Streep, but all were really good)

Best Supporting Actor – should and will win: Jared Leto (but it’s a shame Chris Cooper’s not here)

Best Supporting Actress – should win: Jennifer Lawrence

will win: Lupita Nyong’o (conspicuous in her absence here is Léa Seydoux)

Best Director – should win: Russell or Scorsese (a shame they couldn’t squeeze in Jean-Marc Vallée)

will win: Alfonso Cuarón

Best Editing – should win: Christopher Rouse or John Mac McMurphy and Martin Pensa

will win: Christopher Rouse

Best Foreign Film – should win: The Hunt or The Broken Circle Breakdown

will win: The Hunt or The Great Beauty

Movies – Mix

Some quickies from recent Netflix-ing:

American Psycho – does ‘not for the fainthearted’ go without saying? A very well-done movie – Christian Bale rocks hard, and it’s so nauseatingly creepy because you recognize so many things that might be true of any red-blooded American boy you might know. Especially unkind to women – I suspect director Mary Harron exorcised many personal demons here. You’ll need a shower afterwards, but you’ll be glad you toughed it out.

Babette’s Feast – the pacing is almost excruciatingly slow. When Sergio Leone does this, it’s because of a million little details. When Gabriel Axel does it, it’s to slowly freeze you into his world of austerity, minimalism and piety. Which makes the last quarter of this film all the more wonderful. The engaging story and gracious main characters accumulate power slowly but surely; seemingly small revelations take on profound power at the end, but Axel ( and the superb Stéphane Audran) never betrays his sense of scale, or humanity. A great movie.

Inland Empire – for intriguing puzzles and knockout performances, stick to Mulholland Drive. No matter how odd it gets, Mulholland Drive holds together, and there’s actually a real, honest-to-Jah narrative if you want to work that hard to decipher it. If you don’t, it’s still cool. Inland Empire has a few umbrella-like ideas, but it’s pretty scattered and incohesive. I love to see Laura Dern get the work, but not even she can save this David Lynch mish-mash. Not recommended.

Secret Things – a tawdry confection from veteran filmmaker Jean-Claude Brisseau, who’s shamelessly happy to demonstrate what most people presume ‘French films’ are – hot naked women scoring larger ‘intellectual’ points about Adulthood. The first half of the film is genuinely intriguing, and one keeps thinking he’s gonna really pull off a good movie. No such luck, I’m afraid. The courage of his convictions melts away disappointingly after about two-thirds of the way. Genuinely sexy? Sure. But prepare to be ultimately underwhelmed. I actually preferred Nathalie – less sexy, but much smarter and satisfying. (Emmanuelle Beart, Fanny Ardant, dir. Anne Fontaine – remade as Chloe (2009) with Amanda Seyfried and Julianne Moore)

My Best Fiend: Klaus Kinski – Werner Herzog’s documentary on Klaus Kinski, simultaneously his favorite actor and the bane of his existence. Kinski’s, uhmm, eccentricities have to be seen and heard about to be believed, but Herzog is admirably and unfailingly gracious overall. Aguirre The Wrath Of God, Fitzcarraldo, Woyzeck, Nosferatu – like him or not, he’s an undeniably magnetic actor. I’m waiting for someone to make the Oliver Reed documentary – another legendary madman, by all reports.