This is how the sausage factory works, and it’s messy. First vote Sunday night was to pass the existing Senate bill. Democrats have the votes. Second vote was to recommit with instructions. This is the Republican attempt to re-open the Senate bill to, ostensibly, strengthen the abortion restrictions. The Democrats, understandably, outvoted this, because once the Senate Bill is re-opened, Pandora’s Box has been re-opened, and the Democrats will not be able to close it again. Which is ironic, because if the Democrats would have been able to fight the abortion battle here, they would have ALSO had the votes to get the public option back in.
“The House, however, could still pass the Senate bill into law and then send the Senate a reconciliation fix with a public option. The Senate could torpedo that legislation without the concern that no reform package at all will get passed, giving the Senate added leverage.
“The underlying dynamic, however, remains unchanged: In the next few days, as the White House and congressional leaders meet to hash out the way forward, the votes appear to exist to include a public option. It’s only a matter of will.”
http://www.huffingtonpost.com/2010/03/11/the-public-options-last-s_n_495383.html
Now Senate democrats, having agreed to streamline the passed House version, face a similar dilemma:
“Any Democrat could introduce a public option amendment in the Senate and it would need a bare majority to pass. Would it have 50 votes? It looks that way, but the one way to find out is to hold the vote without leadership urging members to vote it down.
“Democratic aides and members in the House and Senate say that the strategy is too risky, that there’s no certainty that the House could get the final bill through again. But ask House Republicans: Betting against Pelosi is a quick way to go broke.
“And Senate Republicans would be left to mull over the final irony that it was their own parliamentary obstruction that allowed the public option to slide back in.”
http://www.huffingtonpost.com/2010/03/22/could-the-public-option-s_n_509206.html
Big, big, risky, risky…re-introducing the public option in the Senate sends it back to the House, whose Democrats are going to be furious that they could have inserted the public option, but didn’t because that was the damn deal. This has little if any chance of working, or even being allowed to work. But there’s still a slim slim slim chance that the Dems could either sneak the public option in at the final hour, or blow the whole damned thing up for good.