Movies – Handicapping The Best Picture Oscars 2015

Ralph Fiennes, Saoirse Ronan and Tony Revolori in 'The Grand Budapest Hotel.'  credit: premiere.fr

Ralph Fiennes, Saoirse Ronan and Tony Revolori in ‘The Grand Budapest Hotel.’ credit: premiere.fr

Most of the year I’m disposed to ignore most domestic new releases in favor of covering new releases and revivals of  foreign films, but I’m slowly starting to stretch out more in that regard. A few years ago I decided to at least watch the Oscar Best Picture nominees to balance things out. Regular readers already know my ardent feelings about James Gray’s The Immigrant, so I won’t belabor that here.

Best Picture

American Sniper – Clint Eastwood (like John Huston) likes to leave his lead actors alone to do their own work while he surrounds them with what they need to do that work well. He’s handed over this film to Bradley Cooper (who also co-produced), and Cooper’s big-simple-consistent-strokes performance anchors the entire film. Eastwood shapes each and every sequence as a showcase for heroic resolve and a lesson in the price that’s paid for maintaining it. It’s true to how modern warfare works without promoting or condemning it, and he’s filtered almost any trace of larger religious or political considerations from the tunnelvision Chris Kyle experience – it’s all through Kyle’s eyes, from Kyle’s worldview. I suspect a lot of people will find that somewhat unsatisfying, but Clint’s always been about troubling moral incongruities. It’s a story told with extraordinary professionalism and class, but, with no disrespect to Chris Kyle or Clint Eastwood, we’ve seen all of this before; unless you have more to show us than Mark Boal and Kathryn Bigelow, or Mark Bowden and Ridley Scott have done, it’s ultimately just a pretty good genre exercise circa 2014. It’s made a LOT of money, and LOTS of people have seen it, so the point/counterpoint media rhetoric is escalating wildly. It’s a war movie. If you don’t like war movies, don’t see this one. If you like war movies, this is a pretty good one. If you’re conflicted about war movies, you’ll be conflicted about this one. This isn’t the year’s best film, but that’s not to say that it might not win this anyway. (Although no Eastwood directing nomination would indicate it’s unlikely.)

Birdman (or The Unexpected Virtue of Ignorance) – Full disclosure:  I’m not much of an Alejandro González Iñárritu fan. Our first dose, Amores Perros, was impressive, in its mean-spirited way, but Babel, 21 Grams and Biutiful were all insufferably earnest and punishingly humorless, shoving Bitter Irony™ down our throats. (And Biutiful convinced me to not just blame Guillermo Arriaga.)  Iñárritu and his other writers here have brought more genuinely humorous energy to things, dark as it still may be, but Birdman’s one-continuous-shot conceit feels more like a hamster wheel the actors are compelled to keep turning rather than a constructive storytelling strategy – the endless urgency gets monotonous. Michael Keaton’s work is admirable here, and nomination-worthy. I’m also a huge fan of Emma Stone, but her nomination here (and Norton’s) is baffling. I thought all of the women in the film were distressingly misused, and Norton’s role is facile caricature, albeit well-executed. If Iñárritu actually likes any of these characters, there’s no evidence of it on display.  I even felt bad for Maurice Ravel. I think Iñárritu and his writers are trying to describe a tragic sociocultural narrowing of the options for any free expression, from fine art to pop culture to personal intimacy. And it’s certainly entertaining, in its smart-assed eager-to-please way. But his films always leave me with the same question; you’ve put some terrific actors through hell again, Alejandro, but what’s your point?

Boyhood – a very likable movie, but that revelatory slice-of-life masterpiece that everyone else is gushing about escaped me. Like much of his work, Boyhood showcases Richard Linklater’s writerly skill in fashioning behavior and environment out of the accumulation of well-chosen details, rather than hitting bullet points on a narrative outline. I don’t think the film is more about its own making than the story being told, as some have opined, but I do think that creating X amount of footage, intermittently, year after year, made Linklater (and editor Sandra Adair) too generous in deciding how much of it they could constructively use. The film is easily 30-40 minutes too long, and the latter stages of the almost-three-hour-slog aren’t nearly as interesting as the film’s first half. For all of Linklater’s gifts as a writer and director of actors, his visual narratives are workmanlike at best, and the film has no real rhythm or dynamic. Arquette, however, is rock-solid, deserving her nomination and the win (she’s the only reason the last half-hour is sufferable). Overall, I was happy to have seen it; I suspect this and Birdman are the favorites, but, honestly, if these are the best of the year, then it’s been kind of a lame year. They’re both singular films in their way, but both will be all but forgotten five years from now.

The Grand Budapest Hotel – Wes Anderson’s usual visual conceits are liberally brandished in his best film since The Royal Tenenbaums; more so than ever, though, the stylistic flourishes are in direct service to the plot and the characters, rather than just odd but clever framing devices. M. Gustave H. (Ralph Fiennes) is the legendary concierge de l’hôtel of the Grand Budapest, as well as a gigolo to its fantastically wealthy clientele.  The plot’s engine is a series of dark and comical intrigues concerning the murder of one of M. Gustave’s most devoted clients, but the overall tone chronicles the end of an elegant era, and the fate to which its post-era participants reconcile themselves. It’s telling that M. Gustave and the beloved Agatha (Saoirse Ronan) don’t so much die at the end as vaporize into memory – their deaths are told of rather than shown – much like Anderson’s inspiration here, Stefan Zweig, who killed himself believing that high European culture couldn’t possibly survive the Nazis. I put this in 4th or 5th place Academy-wise, but of these eight, this and Whiplash are my own favorites.

The Imitation Game – All of the ingredients for an engaging, challenging and evocative film biography of Alan Turing are here, but Graham Moore’s screenplay veers away from almost every complexity, scientific or psycho-sexual, that it brings up. Bouncing around between three distinct time periods in Turing’s life, Moore resorts to a great many Tortured Gay Nerd stereotypes, which, with many of them being at least partially true, renders Benedict Cumberbatch’s earnest but too-tightly-wound presentation of them even more melodramatically cloying. Director Morten Tyldum previously directed the dark and thrilling Headhunters; here he and Moore choose to emphasize Turing’s isolation rather than his accomplishments, yet without the thrill of the code-breaking mission, the rest of the story would get old pretty quickly. Bullied by schoolmates, bullied by his military intelligence superiors and bullied by his fellow code breakers until he meets his Magdalene (Keira Knightley as fellow cryptographer Joan Clarke), Alan then turns things around, winning friends and influencing people until the script tells him to stop doing that and become the Tortured Gay Nerd again. Knightley is good – her usual crisply functional work, neither showy nor sneaky – but her nomination is a stretch this time, God bless ‘er. I have a feeling detective inspectors weren’t nearly as affable as Detective Nock (the terrific Rory Kinnear), nor did they just stumble on to Turing’s ‘indecencies’ by accident. The last ten minutes of the film almost feel like an afterthought: “Oh, yes, and then this other thing happened. Tut, tut, poor fellow…” This was a film I wanted to like, but just couldn’t. Tyldum’s film is well-structured, and looks great, but could have used a lot less hand-wringing and a bigger dose of straightforward-ness.

Selma – many berate American Sniper for its tunnelvision view of the war, seemingly pre-empting other populations and philosophies, but Selma is just as tightly focused in its way. It’s easy now to see the righteousness of the Civil Rights movement and the Voting Rights Act (and the flat-out wrongheadedness of current attempts to weaken them ), but at the time those ideas went against more than just one aspect of entrenched American culture, and not all of those resistant to change were just racist. History shows that George Wallace and J. Edgar Hoover deserve any lumps they receive, but LBJ was not a Stubborn Cracker Wheeler-Dealer Who Just Didn’t Get It, and we’re misleadingly close to that here.  I have little quarrel with the film’s presentation of events in and around the actual Selma marches, though; director Ava DuVernay and screenwriter Paul Webb strike a nice balance between flat historical documentation and stomach-lurching personal drama, and those characters who are focused on are richly detailed, fascinating people (whether from her own efforts or DuVernay’s regard, Carmen Ejogo’s Coretta is wonderful here.) DuVernay, technically and aesthetically, is undeniably good (as is her talented cinematographer, Bradford Young), but the film loses steam late on; the third march seems oddly anticlimactic, when it should be a triumph.  I liked this movie very much, and recommend it highly, but it’s too narrowly focused to make the leap from An Inspiring True Story to The Definitive Chronicle (which I suspect it aspires to be).

The Theory of Everything – Much like our other British production, The Imitation Game, we have here another biography of admirable craft and structure, but enervating conventionality. You don’t miss the science as much here, though, since A) it’s clear early on that the love story will be at the forefront, and B) the performances by Eddie Redmayne (as Stephen Hawking) and Felicity Jones (as Jane Wilde Hawking) are world-class. Jones has the more elaborate emotional arc to survey; we’re not surprised when she falls in love with the young Stephen, we never question her loyalty and resolve to create a strong and loving family with him, and we completely understand when Jane’s love and resolve start to exhaust themselves. Redmayne’s work is astonishingly detailed and expressive – much of it admittedly physical, technical, but you can’t rehearse the clever gleam that Redmayne puts into Hawking’s eyes, or diagram which particular smiles are going to express which complex feelings. Redmayne’s Hawking is solidly illuminated from within, and I think there’s a good chance he may pick Michael Keaton’s pocket on Oscar night. A pleasant, middling film of admirably consistent humor, unobtrusively directed by James Marsh, but the acting’s worth the admission price.

Miles Teller and J.K. Simmons in 'Whiplash.'  credit: Daniel McFadden / Sony Pictures Classics

Miles Teller and J.K. Simmons in ‘Whiplash.’ credit: Daniel McFadden / Sony Pictures Classics

Whiplash – if emotional engagement is the measure of a rewarding film-viewing experience, then I freely admit that this film hooked me, reeled me in, chewed me up and spit me out. It establishes a fascinating, conflicted, unhealthy co-dependent relationship, and then surreptitiously pinches your shirtsleeve and pulls you into the thick of it. Even after you’ve decided that neither of these people are very likable anymore, you stay with them. The film is artful exaggeration of director Damien Chazelle’s own experiences as a music student under a similarly draconian instructor, and J. K. Simmons’ Terence Fletcher is a deep and dark whole-new-league of punishingly manipulative alpha-dog – there’s no close second for the Supporting Actor Oscar. But Miles Teller holds his admirable own here as Fletcher’s allegedly-bound-for-greatness drumming student. This is the one film I was able to see on its release; “Does greatness, in any vocation, come from a place of love and encouragement and available resources? Or should it come from conflict, from adversity, from challenge that disrupts all of the other aspects of our lives? Is greatness worth anything to ourselves if we haven’t gone through hell to achieve it?” Actual working musicians, and teachers, will roll their eyes at some of Chazelle’s conceits, but this is a very skillful well-oiled-machine of a film, and my other favorite (with Grand Budapest Hotel) of these eight.

Best Director

Should win: Wes Anderson or Richard Linklater.

Will win: Richard Linklater or Alejandro González Iñárritu.

Conspicuous in their absence: Ava DuVernay (Selma), Damien Chazelle (Whiplash).

Best Actress

Should win: Marion Cotillard – if she does, I suspect she’ll thank the Dardennes and James Gray. Felicity Jones isn’t a completely crazy longshot here, though.

Will win: Julianne Moore – in Oscar tradition, it’s her turn, and once again, it’s for the wrong movie. But since she’s one of the best actors on the planet, I have no big problem with this. And make no mistake, she’s one of the best actors on the planet in this movie.

Conspicuous in her absence: Emily Blunt, for either Edge Of Tomorrow or Into The Woods. She had a great year. She’ll win in a few years for the wrong film, too.

Best Actor

Should win: Eddie Redmayne.

Will win: Michael Keaton. These two are very close, and both were very good.

Conspicuous in their absence: Ralph Fiennes (Grand Budapest Hotel), Jake Gyllenhaal (Nightcrawler).

Best Supporting Actress

Should and will win: Patricia Arquette (although God bless Laura Dern…).

Conspicuous in their absence: Agata Kulesza for Ida, Carmen Ejogo for Selma.

Best Supporting Actor

Should and will win: J.K. Simmons.

Conspicuous in his absence: I thought Stephen Kunken’s work in Still Alice as Alice’s neurologist was rock-solid perfect, regardless of actual screen time.

Best Foreign Language Film

Leviathan – Russia – a terrific film. The Russian government either has lots of tolerance for films about what a corrupt soulless wasteland their country has turned into, or they’re simply not paying attention. This was at the Music Box a few weeks ago, but I suspect it’ll replay at the Film Center April- ish, and should be streamed thereafter whenever and wherever it can be. Bleak, but very impressive.

Ida (Poland) – the overwhelming favorite, but I, and maybe five or six other people on the planet, weren’t big on it. It’s very beautiful visually, and there’s a powerhouse supporting performance by Agata Kulesza, but the title character, to me, was completely absent from her own story.

Tangerines – A compact, conventional, unsentimental, well-acted, well-told story. I love watching pros work. Two wounded soldiers from opposite sides are nursed back to health by an Estonian living in war-torn Abkhazia. This and Wild Tales are my favorites here, but it’s all about Ida this year.

Timbuktu – demonstrates what most of us already know; that the vast majority of Muslims are pretty normal folks, while the tiny minority of armed jihadi extremists are swinging-dick bully morons. The extremists here (in Mali) aren’t financed with hundreds of millions of dollars from rich Saudi Arabians and Kuwaitis, but they still do a fair amount of damage. A beautiful film about honest resilience in the face of thuggery (with a surprising amount of humor sprinkled throughout). There are two stories here though, and, for me, they clanged against each other awkwardly.

Wild Tales (Argentina) – one of the most purely entertaining films I’ve seen all year, an anthology of six short stories – dark, funny, technically impressive – and the only one of the five without a sad ending. I liked it immensely, but it’s just not serious-minded enough to win over the Academy.

Movie I didn’t expect to like so much (Last year this was Dallas Buyer’s Club.):
Nightcrawler, which I believe is only up for original screenplay. For yet another dark-toned pop culture/mass media critique, there’s some genuinely subversive red meat here. I liked everything  – Dan Gilroy’s writing and directing, Robert Elswit’s stunning imagery and camerawork, Jake Gyllenhaal and Rene Russo’s spot-on performances… I hope it already did a fair amount of box-office, ‘cuz it ain’t gonna get much love from here.

Movie I wanted to like but didn’t (Last year this was Her.):
The Imitation Game, a mawkish and manipulative soap-opera, infantilizing Alan Turing’s struggles with his sexuality while overmystifying his mathematical breakthroughs, squandering an otherwise fascinating biographical subject.

The best movie on the planet in 2014 that everyone’s tired of hearing me talk about: James Gray’s The Immigrant. (It’s on Netflix!)

Movies – Handicapping The Best Picture Oscars 2014

Amy Adams and Christian Bale in 'American Hustle.'   credit: domainehome.com

Amy Adams and Christian Bale in ‘American Hustle.’ credit: domainehome.com

I don’t get the opportunity to see a lot of American films – the foreign new releases, revivals and festival screenings eat up most of the valuable time I have to commit to film at all. But I make a point to see the Best Picture nominees every year, and, this year especially, there’s a real breadth of socio-cultural, global and historical concerns being surveyed by American filmmakers. The filmmakers, of course, are to be complimented, but I think the real story is the flood of producers who have cut their teeth on indies, and are now graduating to the big leagues. Superheroes, sequels, animations and overgrown-adolescent comedies will still rake in the big money, but there’s not much of that represented in this year’s Academy nominees, and, as an incorrigible snob, I think that’s a good thing.

12 Years A Slave – the provocateur film critic Armond White (God bless ‘im) has likened 12 Years A Slave to “torture porn.” And, while that’s pretty strong medicine, I think what he’s really lamenting is that society has become so inured to everyday injustice, and so resigned to the can’t-beat-city-hall status quo, that it really does seem to take extraordinary amounts of visceral brutality and psychological cruelty to distract us from our own choice to not dwell on the true history because it’s unpleasant and disruptive. There are ways to address these issues and conditions, argues White, but this isn’t one of them. I don’t think this view should invalidate the entire enterprise, but it’s fair to criticize director Steve McQueen, and writer John Ridley, for some of their excesses. (Although I can’t honestly say they’re unfaithful to Solomon Northrup’s own characterizations – I haven’t read his book.)  Northrup’s indentured tenure under William Ford (Benedict Cumberbatch) reveals far more profound, and relatable, issues of humanity-as-commodity than the subsequent horrorshow of the Epps plantation. “You are an exceptional nigger, Platt, but I fear no good will come of it” is, in many ways, the cruelest stroke wielded in the entire film. Many feel differently – and I thought the film was very good, don’t get me wrong – but the indulgent Scottish-play dynamic of Epps (Michael Fassbender) and his imperious wife (Sarah Paulson), the psychotic tone of Epps’ miscegenation, especially towards Patsey (a very good Lupita Nyong’o, but in a much smaller role than you’d think) and the Mel Gibson-ish levels of flesh-rending came pretty close to taking me right out of the disturbing-but-quite-wonderful film McQueen had fashioned up to that point. Despite those specific misgivings, however, I think the film overall is excellent, and it’s definitely a top-tier contender.

American Hustle – as they say in horse racing, this is the chalk. This is the favorite. And it should be. The fact is that David O. Russell, despite his past reputation for pissing off actors, has never made an even remotely bad film, and this is not only his best, but it may stand up as one of the best of a still young decade. Actors work their asses off for him now. Christian Bale and Amy Adams are worth every single cent of your box office dollar; for Bale, it’s another remarkable transformation into a character you might otherwise imagine he has no business even attempting. And Adams is, in short order, becoming the new young Faye Dunaway, the new young Kathleen Turner, the actress you can’t imagine not looking at for whatever major role you might happen to have. Russell and Eric Warren Singer flat-out own the Best Original Screenplay Oscar, but Cuarón, McQueen and Scorsese will squeeze out Russell for Best Director, even though his film involves far more narrative, and psychological, complexity than Gravity or Wolf. 12 Years A Slave is very good, and may be a more important film to reward for its intentions these days, but take my word for it; American Hustle is the best film of these nine.

Captain Phillips – look, this is a powerful film in many respects; film editor Christopher Rouse richly deserves his nomination for Best Editing, and I hope he wins. I continue to have big problems with director Paul Greengrass’ constant, bludgeoning, almost nauseating use of Steadicam – I hope to God someone bought him a tripod for Christmas. The film puts a lot on Tom Hanks’ plate, and Hanks delivers, but if it has any redeeming narrative cohesion, it’s because of Rouse’s work. Unlike Tobias Lindholm’s superior A Hijacking, this film is extraordinarily condescending towards the four Somali pirates who board, and bring to a standstill, the immense MV Maersk Alabama, and take its Captain hostage. They seem to function purely on unlimited adrenaline and misplaced greed (“You got 6 million dollars? Then what are you doing here?”). There’s no real strategy or criminal expertise here; hijacking ships is their version of the Powerball lottery. Like 12 Years A Slave, this is based on a book I, and countless other moviegoers, haven’t read, so I’ll stipulate to a lot of this, but I smelled a lot of clumsy narrative expediency, regardless of the film’s length. I’m not surprised at Tom Hanks’ Best Actor snub; the five that are standing are all fearsome actors, and this film isn’t the overt Acting Showcase that the Academy is a perennial sucker for; oddly, that’s all the more to Hanks’ credit. Hanks did the heavy lifting, but Rouse brought it home.

Dallas Buyers’ Club – of all of these films, this one may have been the nicest surprise. It’s not in American Hustle’s league, but the quality of the performances, the script by Craig Borten and Melissa Wallack, and Jean-Marc Vallée’s aggressively inspired direction level out the lurid-novelty aspects of the story and dig into some real moral and ethical red meat. Matthew McConaughey’s been on a pro’s roll for around three years now, contributing unselfishly to very good movies and picking up and carrying the not-so-good ones on his back. As Ron Woodroof, he flat-out refuses to engage in earnest sentiment or anti-hero pandering; you never forget that this is a guy who’s ultimately in this for his own survival, and the opportunistic political and corporate quagmire, against which he fashions his own smarter shadow market, really was, and is, worth getting ornery over. Vallée’s film is flashy, angular and colorful; he deals out frames of film like a card player, but everything he does and shows directly serves the story. That Best Film Editing nomination is no fluke – Vallée gave John Mac McMurphy and Martin Pensa a lot to sort through, and they’ve shaped it admirably. Leto has the showcase supporting role, but I found Jennifer Garner and Griffin Dunne (giving a master class in underplaying) to be just as impressive here. I rate it my third favorite, but it’s probably mid-pack Academy-wise. Make a point to catch up with this one if you haven’t already.

Gravity – Watching this technically brilliant film in a big dark theater, on a giant screen, in 3D, was absolutely one of the highlights of my filmgoing year. But as soon as the dead daughter came up, I slumped in my chair a little; “They don’t need this,” I thought. Sandra Bullock’s laser-focused underplaying softened some of the short-cut pathos that director Alfonso Cuarón unfortunately resorted to here, but for me, the damage was done. That’s not to diminish Bullock’s own work – she’s excellent here, and, remember, the shooting process for her was over an intermittent three or four year period (six months of physical training, and time accommodation for the elaborate optical and computer effects). However, I think DVD watchers are going to wonder what the big deal here is, and find Ryan Stone, ultimately, a little maudlin. Although Gravity did great in-theater business upon its release, one needs to consider that many Academy voters watched this film on a DVD screener, and, even in their custom home theaters with the 85” Samsungs, may also wonder what the big deal here is. I put this at fourth for Best Picture, and as a shoo-in for the technical awards, but, I caution you, don’t underestimate Bullock’s Best Actress chances.

Her – As Philip K. Dick explained to us, in so many words, “Technology will never have to conquer humanity. We’ll happily, and willingly, surrender.” Boy, I had a lot of problems with this film. It wants to gently inform us of the Faustian pact we make with ourselves when we try to find substitutes for the hard work of relating with the heads, hearts and bodies of our fellow human creatures. But all I came away with was the operating system’s failure at fulfilling the human need for our own narrow 21st century narcissism. It’s refreshing to have a male protagonist function within the story on almost exclusively emotional motivations (and Joaquin Phoenix does brilliant work here), and for Jonze to present a benignly optimistic vision of the future that isn’t post-apocalyptic. But as soon as Samantha said “I think it would be good for us. I want this. This is really important to me,” I knew the rest of the film wouldn’t be able to backpedal fast enough. Spike Jonze is a filmmaker, and, as such, automatically used film to tell the story he wanted to tell, but so much of the story felt so un-cinematic to me that the visual landmarks he peppered his vaguely conceived fast-food-restaurant-design environment with stuck out like pretentious sore thumbs (OMG! THE PORTENTOUS OWL!). Many people have a much higher opinion of the film, and God bless them all. I found it to be, easily, the most overrated of the nine.

Nebraska – I liked Nebraska very much. Director Alexander Payne, with old pro Bruce Dern, and comedy veterans Will Forte and Bob Odenkirk, have gone for a throwback Bob & Ray / Bob Newhart deadpan comedy that, seemingly, only the likes of Bill Murray can pull off anymore without condescension. Most of the time it feels like a ruefully resigned episode of the Andy Griffith show (Phedon Papamichael’s black-and-white photography is superb). There are, unfortunately, a few scenes where they just couldn’t leave it alone to let it work by itself (Kate’s ha-ha sexual frankness, the wrong farm…); there’s a thin line between honest humanism and ridicule – the Coen brothers are still working on finding it – but the supporting cast is almost uniformly good at drawing it here. June Squibb is excellent, but my favorites were the local newspaper editor (Angela McEwan) and the sweepstakes receptionist (Melinda Simonsen). Well worth seeing on the big screen, and you’ll wish more films were like it, but the Best Picture of the Year? Desolé

Philomena – a solidly professional piece of serious-minded entertainment. Again, not having read the book, the balancing of Philomena Lee’s (Judi Dench) bedrock sense of charity while searching for her estranged son, weighed against journalist Martin Sixsmith’s (Steve Coogan) secular disgust with the Catholic Church’s harvesting of shame while covering their bottom-line, is deftly presented in Coogan’s (and Jeff Pope’s) adaptation of Sixsmith’s true-life chronicle. There’s some urbane intellectual snob vs. provincial old coot stuff early on (“She told four different people they’re one-in-a-million; what are the chances of that?”), but the script and performers are smarter than to lean on that too long. What unfurls is a genuinely fascinating series of incidents and mysteries, and the integrity of the two very different main characters doubly illuminates the issues behind them. Nicely adapted, convincingly performed, and directed by Stephen Frears, as cagey a pro as there is these days (just follow the camera movements while Lee and Sixsmith are riding on the back of the airport cart – or don’t, if you’re not geeky like me), the film is a showcase of the thousands of small choices that create a subtle yet informative narrative. It’s another admirable film that isn’t coming anywhere near winning anything it’s been nominated for.

The Wolf Of Wall Street – a despicable story brilliantly told. Most of the film is an exhilarating and exhausting Wall Street chronicle that falls somewhere between Fear And Loathing In Las Vegas and A Clockwork Orange with a touch of Caligula, but Scorsese orchestrates its comic and serious tones and movements like Maurice Ravel. The template is familiar – the structures of Goodfellas and Casino shape the dynamics of this film as well; relentlessly chronological with an illuminating voiceover narrative throughout. But Scorsese isn’t giving us a cautionary tale or a moral lesson; there’s no ‘end of an era’ or ‘end of the road’ – he’s telling us, in the plainest, yet most entertaining, way he can find that This Is The Way It Is Now. Ethics and morals, hell, even good manners, are anti-capitalist mannerisms to be jettisoned. No one will ever make rich man’s money in the financial world doing the right thing anymore. No one, because there’s little, if any, reward for the right thing, and there’s little, if any, downside to ignoring its existence. I was reminded of Jonathan Pryce’s performance in Glengarry Glen Ross, a browbeaten regular-guy client on the extraction end of Al Pacino’s money-harvesting Machiavelli. People like Pryce’s James Lingk are nowhere to be found here; you don’t even here their voices on the other end of a phone, save for one brief training session near the beginning of the film. Jordan Belfort and his army of vampire squids carved a sizable economic swath out of the lives of thousands of James Lingks and their families, and, when caught, he got three years in a country club jail and a fresh start. Ultimately, the film, while very good, is a little too dark, too glib, for Best Picture, but Scorsese’s a very good longshot to play for Best Director.

Best Picture – should win: American Hustle

will win: 12 Years A Slave or Gravity

Best Actor – should win: Christian Bale or Matthew McConaughey (a monster category, all deserving)

will win: Chiwetel Ejiofor

Best Actress – should win: Amy Adams or Cate Blanchett

will win: Cate Blanchett or Sandra Bullock (I would have rather seen Emma Thompson

and Adèle Exarchopoulos over Dench and Streep, but all were really good)

Best Supporting Actor – should and will win: Jared Leto (but it’s a shame Chris Cooper’s not here)

Best Supporting Actress – should win: Jennifer Lawrence

will win: Lupita Nyong’o (conspicuous in her absence here is Léa Seydoux)

Best Director – should win: Russell or Scorsese (a shame they couldn’t squeeze in Jean-Marc Vallée)

will win: Alfonso Cuarón

Best Editing – should win: Christopher Rouse or John Mac McMurphy and Martin Pensa

will win: Christopher Rouse

Best Foreign Film – should win: The Hunt or The Broken Circle Breakdown

will win: The Hunt or The Great Beauty